Wednesday, 9 May 2012

FMCG STOCKS

Large caps :

Itc:
The cigarette industry was pleasantly surprised to see unchanged excise duties on cigarettes. We estimate 4% volume growth for ITC in FY10 and FY11. The Agri division has exited low-margin commodity businesses and focusing on high-margin leaf tobacco exports, which will increase overall margin. ITC has appreciated by about 12% post budget.


short term range : 226-250
long term range: 190-250


nestle:
Nestle India is best placed to ride on the expected growth in processed food market due to strong technology of the parent company. Nestle has taken several steps to increase volume growth increased focus on popularly positioned products, lowered the entry-level price point in chocolates from Rs 3 to Rs 2, increased ad and marketing expenditure.

short term range : 4100-4490
long term range: 3950-4900





Mid caps:

Britannia industries:
Britannias sales growth remains robust. The continued consumers shift from unorganised to branded biscuits will stimulate strong growth in premium biscuits. Strategy of focusing more on the branded biscuit category, would help Britannia to improve the profitability. We expect the companys EBITDA margin to expand in FY12.

short term range : 510-600
long term range: 440-600




Marico:
Marico received approval from the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission to list its 100% subsidiary in the country, known as Marico Bangladesh (MBL). The Bangladesh operations of Marico achieved sales and net profit of Rs 225 crore and Rs 25 crore respectively in FY09. The business has grown at a CAGR of 71% over 3 years.
Short term range : 146-170
long term range: 107-180

Small caps:

Ruchi soya: 
Ruchi Soya is one of the largest players in the domestic edible oil market. It has the largest processing capacity in India. However, there were lot of volatility in the commodity prices but it has been able to register a consistent growth. Also, once the oil prices starts climbing up it is going to reap the benefit.
short term range : 88-100
long term range:78-130


Mcleod russel:
The tea price boom helped McLeaod Russel to post 61.48% growth in its net profit in last quarter. It plans to acquire Vietnam based Phu Ben tea company for $2 million. McLeod, being the worlds largest bulk tea player, will continue to gain from increased preference to tea world over.





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